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Wednesday, 30 November 2016

Is Independence Day Looming?

The puns with various American themes I ran through first and foremost were numerous. “The American Dream.”, “American Revolution.” “The Kuwait is Over.” Etc all could have easily worked.

It seems the takeover is done. Fawaz is at most only a small shareholder who no doubt will get no say and slowly pushed aside before eventually selling up before long in my opinion. The Kuwaiti flag (which did look tattered at the last game) has apparently been lowered. Lalou Tifrit is gone. The end is nigh.

And I for welcome our new American overlords.

The takeover cannot come soon enough. I think we all know another Transfer Window of Fawaz would see further sales. We have been given so many false promises to keep us off his back since that fateful day in august he sold Burke. Promises of reinvestment, of a new Lansbury deal, all just lip service to  baying mob of fans. Fawaz was always hoping to be gone by the next window. The Burke money was to avoid him making further financial contributions, to pay for the club till someone else would.

So yes it is Independence day. Independence from the cult of personality Fawaz used Forest as. A means to fuel his own ego. I have spoke countless times of his brash flashy ways. His Instagram pictures of watches, boasts of cars owned and his opulent homes. It’s all to give you an image of how wonderful he is. Even his trophy hunting of animals and use of various sycophants as advisers at Forest were all to fuel his ego. To revel in peoples adulation rather than actually push Nottingham Forest forward from a love of the club. Everything was what people wanted to hear. It was all for attention.

So we are free. How will the Americans be? Who knows, Surely they will have more commercial savvy than a man owning a club as a shiny trinket. They will want to drive up revenue surely, so that the club isn’t a financial drain as it was for Fawaz who thought he’d get us promoted easily. They have run sports teams before so know what  it entails, but not Football.

Fawaz legacy is forever to be one of failure and false promises. Outright lies if you will. That’s not the way to run a club. So here is to the future

Tuesday, 29 November 2016

Transfer Links are a GOOD thing

Matty Cash

The rumours this week are that numerous Premiership clubs are eyeing the young Forest talent with views to swopping in. Fresh from the Burke sale in the summer it seems the world thinks its open season on our players.

Matty Cash is wanted by Chelsea, Everton and Stoke want Joe Worrall, and Watford and Swansea want man of the moment Ben Osborn.

And that for one reason is a good thing. If clubs from a higher division want to take them off our hands it clearly thinks he players are too good, or have the potential to be good for this level.
Now I am fully buying into these rumours. They come from spurious sources, and I also know that just clubs are interested doesn’t mean that those players are definitely going (although Fawaz said Burke wasn’t for sale and we all know how that turned out.)

The academy is in good health. The squad is being swelled by young talent from the academy in greater numbers we have seen since the Paul Hart days. For Jenas read Cash, for Reid read Osborn, Dawson read Worrall.

Yes there are the usual worries. In the past 3 years we have sold Bamford, Darlow, Lascelles, and Burke from the youth team. McGugan left eventually for free. So the best of our young talent does get cherry picked away eventually. Tempting fate by inviting interest from clubs for our unpolished diamonds may well mean another generation of young talent doesn’t prosper at Forest but leaves.

Think of the team we could have from graduates of the last few years alone. Darlow, Lascelles, Worrall, Iacovitti, Cash, Osborn, McGugan, Burke, Bamford. Thats the core of a handy team. 

That golden era of 11-12 years ago all eventually went elsewhere to realise that potential. But in most cases we got to see them perform (aside from Jenas) before decamping. We barely saw Burke break though before he had gone. Cash hasn’t even played as many games as I can count on my fingers before he’s being linked with a departure, Worrall even less.

And there are more to come, Brereton, Erlandsson, Yates, Ahmedhodzic, are all names that should break though into the first team. And like that golden age, there other lesser names who could become squad players, capable stand ins like the days of Doig, Roche, Bopp and co who never made it, but could happily play a game or two. The problem with them was when we came to have to rely on them as the prized assets were gone, rather than use them sparingly.

Joe Worrall

But the fact is as I said, if the new owner has anything about him, rather than the Fawaz method of using the Academy products to fund flashy signings, to show off, rather than boring old youth team graduates, then we have a ready-made golden generation coming through. We don’t need to sell, and the role model for anyone who wants off is ready made in Bamford.  He can act as a totem; the classic example of it’s not always a route to glory to go to the big clubs (though I am sure his earnings far outstrip what he’d have made here.)

I won’t immediately be angry these clubs want our players. They just need their heads being screwed on and keeping happy. Make sure they want to stay and grow. The Burke deal was a player not feeling wanted (as well as his paying apparently jumping 2000%) but I’m sure Burke would have stayed longer.

Fear not yet fans. John Jay Moores might well put trust in youth. And we may not sell off all the assets for the first large pay day we get offered. Or if we do, at least put some bloody decent sell on clauses in!!!!
Sunday, 27 November 2016

Goal Stats: 27/11/2016

Here is a brief analysis and roundup of the goal stats produced thus far on using our simple analysis dashboard

A simple graph illustrating the top keepers. Assombalonga, Vellios and Lansbury share the top scorer position with 6 each. Burke despite being left for 3 months is 4th top scorer, with only perquis and Lam of the rest getting off 1 goal.

Goals: Home/Away
Really simple here. There is as many home goals as away goals.

Goals: Method
The majority of goals have been good old fashioned shots. With two penalties and a relatively smaller number of headers and volleys

Goals by Time:
The largest majority of goals are in the last 5 mins including Injury time. Considering the pervious period too, and over a third of goals come in the last 15 mins There area number of consolation goals in that amount. The quietest period is is 66-75 mins.

Area of Goal:
Interestingly a vast majority of goals have gone in the bottom left corner. Only one goal has gone in the opposite corner. Whether this a deliberate aim to go for one corner is complete guesswork, but to see nearly half the goals all go in one area is surprising

Goal Range
Possibly contributing to where the goals are scorer, the majority come from the inside left of the penalty area. Just 5 goals have come outside the area, and a total 8 from real close range.

Goalscorer by Method:
All of Assombalonga's goals have been shots or headers. On Lansbury has scorer a penalty who has the widest range of goal types. Vellios has a high percentage of volleys with half his goals from that technique whilst its the rarest goal type this season

We will hope to expand further on some aspects this week, with greater Assist analysis
Friday, 21 October 2016

Fawaz Economics 101

You own a car.

You bought that car for £5000 2 years ago second hand.

The car is in excellent condition and all the working parts are in order, though lately a few parts had to be traded in and cheaper less quality ones used. It has an excellent service record up till a few years ago when it wasn’t quite kept in the right working order and it nearly failed its MOT because corners were cut.

You have put £40 a week into that car in Petrol, plus the costs of various parts meant you have probably spent another £500 in the two years or so. All in all, as well as a couple of fancy decorations you have spent £6000 over those 2 years.  What is the car worth now?

Clearly the car is now worth £10,700.

That’s what you have spent on it.

So if you sell 80% of it to a car dealer, but you can arrange to still drive it around and be able to get a share on an extra profits from the car being sold. In fact they should pay you £1000 a year to drive it!!!


Wednesday, 19 October 2016

Fawaz Revealed Demands Show the Shallow Fool He Really Is

Daniel Taylor published an article today featuring a number of facts that were known, such as Fawaz wanting to retain 20% of the club. What we also learned was some of the other details of his selling demands, and to say they are alarming and surprising is a huge understatement.

Fawaz apparently wants a weekly salary akin to a top player. That is utter crazy. I can even fathom how stupid such a demand is. Here is why.

If I owned a company that had, in generous terms, not progressed, and in more real terms, I had singly failed in my leadership of it, I would expect to sell that company for a fee which the company was worth and get the hell out. What I, or any sane person wouldn't expect was to stay on in a token role of no real apparent point, and then demand a salary as much as many of the company’s top performers, despite, let us remember, my leadership being a failure. Fawaz clearly thinks he is worth this.

Let us also then mention the next point Taylor featured. Wages are regularly late. Players are disgruntled and have frequently considered strikes. No wonder the defence often falls asleep, criticisms of players not giving their worth would perhaps have some justification. If I wasn’t paid in my job, my performance and work satisfaction would plummet.

What we also have his Sycophant in chief Emad backing up his demands, and even saying that £1million a year isn’t a lot. In what person’s world is a 7 figure salary not much? The weekly fee is more than a great deal of fans ANNUAL salary. For someone who HAS FAILED.

This of course gets better. Fawaz also wants a return of any future profits, which is more than what most suspected of wanting to sell his 20% when promoted for a greatly inflated fee. Furthermore he wants bonuses (BONUSES!!! FOR THIS CLOWN??!!) Akin to the players. You know those guys who actually do a role on the pitch.

So as we say about unhappy players, how would it feel that a man who didn’t pay your wages on time and who failed in what he sold you, then demands a salary more than or equal to yours? Its crazy!!!
What exactly Fawaz will do for this salary is unclear. He can’t work effectively when it’s his money on the line so what he’d actually do for his money when its someone else who is paying the bills and trying to guide us to success is beyond my comprehension.

The temerity of the man is ridiculous. Emad promises an official rebuke from the club, which will be interesting. No doubt it will talk a lot about how he is working to better the club (all the while negotiating a deal that would seriously hinder FFP restrictions.) I think he thinks these rebuttals work, because in the past they sort of have. I really think he doesn’t realise just how angry this latest revelation has made people. Already unpopular the fact he clearly now just wants to line his pockets, suggest he has never ever had the club at heart. He always just wanted to get us promoted to sell for profit, and was so hopelessly misguided in his approach that he has failed.

The man has to be gotten rid of. Since I last wrote an article that proved to be by far the most read on this sites history, a few details also came clear from other fans. But each time a new announcement is made, so it was revealed that potential buyers were close, which temporarily appeased people, till today’s bombshell, when even surely the last acolyte of Fawaz will no longer believe the man’s propaganda, or his vain claims of family abuse, despite there being no evidence.

Fawaz has to go now. Not 80%, not a salary, just out of the club 100%. All ties cut. Just go Fawaz; you are the least welcome man at the City Ground. Even Scholar and Wray are looking better than you. 
Saturday, 8 October 2016

Fawaz: Midnight Twitter Rants and the Real Truth of what’s Happening Behind the Scenes at Nottingham Forest (UPDATED)

A lot of what I am going to write here is joining up dots. A bit of what someone said, a bit what someone else said and trying to draw a line in between and what’s really been happening at Forest in the past 3 months. It may not all be “true” but a lot of this is likely or versions of these events. I don’t ever claim to be  ‘#itk’ but this to me seems as likely version of events as any.

In late August all was well. Fawaz had in theory got his backers with the Marinakis 80% takeover. Marinakis understandably had huge input to the appointment of the director of football Pedro Perrieria and also the manager Philippe Montanier. Fawaz happy to have the backing and the chance to stay on in his token Chairman role was happy to take a back seat and get rid of some of the flack.

However, the takeover dragged on. In part due to Marinakis and his Greek court case, which led to the Football league digging its heals on ratifying anything whilst a potential owner and “fit and proper” person could be done for all sorts of offences would look awful for them, Its clear from the Vellios signing before we had a manager that something akin to this was occurring.

There was also an element of whilst the takeover was being dragged out allegedly of Fawaz, apparently not being happy about paying the bills before the Greeks were in. I.e. there was the wage payment for June. Supposedly Fawaz, as he was to be longer the owner, apparently didn’t want to pay the £400k or so that the monthly wages amounted to, believing the Greeks should pay the bill. The Greeks as they were not owners yet rightly believed they shouldn’t. After all you don’t start paying a mortgage off till you actually agree the house move. This led to a further hiccup with a 2% part of the deal being negotiated which amounted to the £400k.

This also meant he didn’t want to do the necessary work on the ground the council wanted, resulting in the reduce capacity, because apparently Fawaz didn’t want to pay for work he’d never see the benefit of.
Role on the August and things are already strained. Without the family support anymore for the club, funds are running low. We have made one real cash signing in Vellios, but the rest are the usual array of loans and freebies. In part to offset losses coming up in the next months, Fawaz sells Burke. Bear in mind at this stage the deal with the Greeks is still kind of on, but just on a back burner whilst all the legal issues hopefully ran their course. This angered the Greeks. Their main asset sold behind their back for a fee that was lower than could be achieved, but that was paid up front, so Fawaz could in theory,  fund the club for the next few months.

Now there is a slight element of feeling sorry there for Fawaz. He had to do something to get money to keep the club running without family money, but with the Greek takeover dragging on and not looking any closer, and no other real deals on the table; he had to act to get that money. As I say, it was all up front. Bigger deals were for longer term payments, so would not have gotten him the requisite cash to see through the months ahead. What the problem is here is that he lied. He covered up that essentially this all came about due to his ineptitude.

Here’s where the real drama comes in. Pedro Pereira as the Greeks man at the club, due to the Greeks anger is told to not just splash the cash on anyone. Not sure of the reasons really, surely you would want a proper replacement. So when in interviews Fawaz says the money was made available, some of it was, just not all of it. He needed some to keep the club afloat, as without we were in the shit.

Pereira therefore doesn’t spend the cash going ahead with the already planned Lica & Dumituru deals, and eventually Bendtner. The Greeks now want it back fire on Fawaz and make him look bad, which it of course does. He sold a man behind his potential new investor’s backs but he kind of had to. Hence previously he said he wouldn’t sell anyone. This is also why other clubs were hovering around Assombalonga, hoping to be able to pick him for cheap, knowing that all this was going on behind the scenes.

This annoys Fawaz, he knows he is going to get a lot of flak and fight fires for not signing a proper replacements. He wanted to and had apparently himself earmarked targets, but Pereira blocked them with his man Montanier. Hoping the Greek takeover goes through, that the lion-share of that Burke sale comes to them to spend of their targets, not the overpriced signings of someone who has consistently negotiated bad deals. (The Greeks are agog at some of the wages average players re on.) Hence also why Burke elt the club didn’t want to keep him, they needed the money.

So relations between Fawaz and Pereira are non-existent. We get to the point now, where we are looking at other deals, with the news that other parties have been interested but are not willing to engage in this ridiculous 80% sale as long as Fawaz stays on deal. Fawaz wants the club to get promoted to sell his 20% for a greatly inflated fee and get his money back, and end this horrible tenure at the club.

Things reach a head last night, where Pereira and Fawaz can no longer work together and the Director of Football is sacked. Fawaz never saw the point in the role and once it was apparent he’d have to pay for someone he thinks acted against him, he severed ties with him.

This led to the first cryptic tweet last night about Actions speaking louder than words, though its exact meaning and point I don’t know, which led to a torrent of abuse from fans and then Fawaz lashing back out, which led to even more abuse before Emad waded in with the most idiotic badly directed tweets ever about how fans don’t put their money into their pockets to fund the club. Which is precisely what all of have been doing for years.

Now relations are so strained that Montanier may well follow. Fawaz wants to clear the decks of the Greek legacy. This isn’t helped of course by the poor form seeing us fall down the table. He also thinks that this is to do with lower crowds, not the fact that we have had 4 years of decline under the Kuwaiti.

Pereira has been let go. Montanier hangs in the balance, the next few results deciding that. Further player sales may well have to come to keep the club afloat, but all the while there are buyers there, none of them will entertain this 20% notion which Fawaz clings too. Hence he wants his £100m he kept tweeting about last night in ridiculous tirades at tired fans. Also the fact some fans were claiming we are going to be in the shit is because last night he wanted to walk away from Forest. Fawas has had enough. However he knows he can;t just leave this thing he owns, and needs it to be successful to maximise value to sell it.

If it all feels a bit Jackanory, I agree, but that’s where the clubs at. It’s a soap opera. It’s a plot even Eastenders wouldn’t touch. But maybe, just maybe, it’s what’s happening. We have been lied to. Fawaz cannot and will not admit the well is dry. The family have said no more cash, hence he is looking for investors. But would you pay for 80% for something for someone else to run it and try and reap the benefits of? Of course not. This all boils down to him not wanting to sell up and try and keep his cult of personality afloat.

***EDIT*** Pereira has now "resigned." So there we go, the next piece in this puzzle. Now from what I have read in two or three places it has to do with leaking information to the Greek Journalist
Antonis Oikonomidis about what has been happening. It was that journalist of course who mentioned about Red Bull offering for the club. Fawaz has been angered by him leaking this news that was meant to be secret, especially considering his recent tirades about who's offering for the club now. 

More as it happens





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